Politics

Opinion: LUKASHYA AND MWANSABOMBWE IN 2016 AND 2020

Lusaka ~ Fri, 18 Sept 2020

By Editor

If the results from yesterday’s by-election are anything to go by, it will not be wrong to conclude that the ruling Patriotic Front has maintained popularity in its strongholds and gaining more in areas that were ordinarily known to be pro-opposition.

To qualify our statement, we’ve selected Lukashya and Mwansabombwe and given you comparative figures from the 2016 and 2020 parliamentary elections.

TAKE A LOOK:

2016 Mwansabombwe

Rogers Mwewa – 7,625
Sunday Maluba MMD – 2,929
Samuel Chitonge UDF – 1,080
MablenKamangala UPND – 857

2020 Mwansabombwe by-election

Kabaso Kampampi PF – 6,478
Sunday Maluba UPND – 1,522
Victor Musangu NAREP – 400
Jason Mwanza LM – 285
Josephine Chama UPPZ – 129

……………………………

2016 Lukashya

Mwenya Munkonge IND – 11,870
Alfreda Kansembe PF – 7,936
Rodrick Chewe UPND – 4,180

Geoffrey Bweupe UDF – 1,123
Gabriel Kaliminwa FDD – 675
Ephraim Mutale Rainbow – 218

2020 Lukashya

George Chisanga PF – 13,431
Davies Mulenga UPND – 2,684
Michael Chimponda PAC – 474
Samuel Kabungo UPPZ – 147
Brown Sinyangwe LM – 143
Christopher Kabwe MMD – 114

From these results, it is clear that it will take a mountain for the opposition UPND to break grounds in these areas. Truth be told, the ruling PF and its government have done so much in rural areas such that people find it easy to cast their votes on the party.

Look at the roads! Look at the early distribution of farming inputs! Look at instant payment by the FRA for agricultural produce supplied in this year’s crop marketing season! These are the things that matter most to rural communities, and not social media.

Lastly, the biggest lesson for all politicians to learn from these results is that Facebook isn’t a constituency! It’s never been and it’ll never ever be. Facebook is not ECZ. Don’t be blinded by it!

 

61 Comments

  1. Concerned citizen

    Exactly

    • Dola hill

      Time for change in UPND. Hakainde is costing UPND in elections. His privitisation baggage is the a negative to the party . The earlier we realise it the better will be our opportunities in 2021. His Chicolor remark in Bemba land has not gone well too. This Lukuku thing and his comments about Chitimukulu has also not gone well . It cost us votes in Kasama. Where were these so called alliance partiners( Kambwili, Lukuku. Milupi etc). Lets forget about this fake alliance. I am UPND and iam very concerned about our 2021 chances.

      • Martin Mwandenga

        I very much agree with you Hakainde is costing UPND elections. We need a different leader who can give people new hope

      • Overseer

        PF cheated by giving relief food and other things to people just before the by-elections, voters were tricked by this move. PF never plays a free and fair election. They also also like putting accusations and lies on opposition parties especially on upnd and its leader HH. Blocking opposition from campaigning also hinders the opposition. Am sure that next year they are planning to rig and compromise the general election, they’ve already shown they’re capable of doing this. They’ll do whatever it takes to win again. I don’t understand why people would still want lungu and his pf to still be in power, bcoz ever since lungu came into power there’s been a lot of violence, corruption and stealing of govt funds, human rights violations(e.g freedom of speech), economy collapse(e.g falling of the kwacha value which increases prices of goods and hence high cost of living), weak democracy bcoz pf leaders have qualities of a dictator and so many negative things to mention. PF can’t bring development and the more they’re still in power the more the worse is to come. We’re throwing our lives away by voting for them and people don’t realize it.

        • Fredrick Kabanda Changocho

          Overseer, you are complaining of lack of “freedom of speech” and yet you have just exercised that same freedom by complaining on this media, if there was no freedom would your complaint even be published ? What freedom exactly do you want ? Freedom to Insult publicly ?

    • CONCERNED CITIZEN

      That is a good analysis but it is an assumption that can either proven right or wrong

      • Clarifier

        The problem with pf supporters especially bembas and easterners you judge hh by tribe and not for who he is as a person. Get to know the person before you judge the man. You falsely think of hh as this tribal person who wants to divide Zambia. You even know deep down your heart that pf is the wrong party to be in govt. But just bcoz you are of the same tribe you still support them when u even know that they’ve failed and u don’t want any person of a different tribe to lead. You condemn hh and accuse him of so many ill things just bcoz he is tonga. I have talked with a lot of pf supporters who have admitted that pf is not fit to lead but they would just prefer pf to still be in power even when they know the bad things pf has done to the nation. PF are the ones who are tribal not hh, hh doesn’t complain about not getting enough votes in copperbelt, northern and other provinces but pf complain about not getting a lot of from southern province so they created this ill story to destroy hh’s name that he is tribal and wants to divide Zambia. Kind of like how people were saying dirty about Sata that he would allow same-sex marriage or homosexuality , make us slaves and so on. We are one and the same, we can’t unite and develop if we continue voting based on tribe. PF also likes hindering opposition from campaigning and when it’s about time to vote pf deceive people by giving food and money and tell lies about bringing development which they don’t bcoz they abandon u and only come when they want votes

        • John Mule

          very wise john mule, u make a good point. Pf followers know that pf has failed but bcoz they ar the same tribe they still vote for pf instead of giving other people with new ideas a chance to lead regardless of tribe. tribe is what has been deciding elections in Zambia, it has been dragging us down. It’s been deciding who wins and who doesn’t, nothing good comes out of it

          • John Mule

            very wise Clarifier……. Not very wise john mule
            I was replying to what Clarifier said atop my reply above

  2. Observer

    “Nakuchita ububi chiicoulor iwe” Said HH at the public rally. So who has been done now???

  3. Koswe

    It is clear opposition whether in alliance or not have no chance to beat pf in next year’s presidential elections coz they have nothing to show the people. Insults will never give them a vote. Leader must no insult people at a rally the hate speeches will never develop. Zambia. Thanks pf for shaming upnd

  4. Ukwimi John

    For sure, UPND need a miracle to make it 2021. They always play into the hands of the PF and never realise that.

  5. If not

    Good analysis there thats a signal that PF will win next years elections.

    Keep winning on social media bally, you have reaped what you sowed with your insult.

    • Chin ying Sungu

      The analysis is poor Mr Editor. Just check the supplied data and if you have been to school you will conclude that UPND have improved on their own 2016 performance
      And Your data shows us that In Mwansabombwe PF have lost 1000 votes from 2016 even if they won now. Find a better way of presenting amd interpretting your data

  6. Ever Green

    Mamawe only the best takes it. Another water wash. Learn to consult and please get the new blood in the system if you are to win.

  7. society icon

    ConCourt is planning to disqualify Lungi through election commission. No Lungu, no PF.

    • Pharaoh

      I know you’re just joking to dreaming. Congratulations PF. I saw it coming just as other have nicely put it.On social Media its HH while on the actual ground work it becomes different. Let’s hope someone will not cry again in 2021 purporting that his votes have been stolen in order to apply for a re- run of elections.Our neighbouring country Malawi did it and for sure the opposition political party succeeded but,here in Zambia only an alliance could have a little bit shaken the party in gvt now the problem is (bukaitemwe) selfishness and tribalism are effecting the weakness in the opposition political parties. They will realize when its too late.In bemba they say”Impombo iili pakufwa,tayumfwa inswaswa”. Its like a hunter in the bush creeping in order to kill an antelope. Even a hunter can make noise by stepping on dry leaves,it will not sense the danger until its shot at

  8. Jon bones

    The problem with Zambians is that you are brainwashed by little and silly things that the #f do. We do not eat roads, most of our government leaders aren’t even educated. Let’s not even start talking about privatisation who is the owner of the ghost houses, the USD /1 TRADING AT K20 and you still support a party that is slowly killing Zambia. How very often do you see these same so called winning politicians visiting these areas and dance for people they are stealing money from. Hospitals that were built have no medicine. You never watch any real news on ZNBC we are not interested in you coming to build roads when you hear that elections are around the corner. Mwansabombwe victory doesn’t mean victory in 2021. For the wheel of fortune will always be spinning and people of Zambia have lamented a lot at the feet of you mwankoles”. #we want change not Vp’s who are always talking about women empowerment and don’t do anything to support women.

  9. Novice

    The problem with Zambians is that you are brainwashed by little and silly things that the #f do. We do not eat roads, most of our government leaders aren’t even educated. Let’s not even start talking about privatisation who is the owner of the ghost houses, the USD /1 TRADING AT K20 and you still support a party that is slowly killing Zambia. How very often do you see these same so called winning politicians visiting these areas and dance for people they are stealing money from. Hospitals that were built have no medicine. You never watch any real news on ZNBC we are not interested in you coming to build roads when you hear that elections are around the corner or how many UPND members have defected to their deaths. Mwansabombwe victory doesn’t mean victory in 2021. For the wheel of fortune will always be spinning and people of Zambia have lamented a lot at the feet of you mwankoles”. #we want change not Vp’s who are always talking about women empowerment and don’t do anything to support women.

  10. Gessik

    I ve noticed one thing about how we Zambians complain with regards to the economy,we are so egocentric.we only focus on our personal problems than those that affect the nation as whole.l if don’t have a job for example , primarily thats my problem.For your own information there will never be a government that will provide jobs for all the jobless ,never! All you need to do is to do something about your situation.Dont ask me how

    • Mauya

      Point

    • Chagika

      I agree with you we can surely do something on our especially it we’ve stable exchange rate like some of our neighbouring countries despite COVID-19 prices on most of their items are unaffected. In 2014 a retiree walked away with a package of K500,000 changed it to US dollars it was @K5 per 1USD he had $100,000. Today a retiree will be given the same package (K500,000) and changing to dollar it will be $25,000. See now what we’ve done to ourselves? This is how some governments make job lovers poor.

    • Pragmatic

      Correct!

  11. Child of the Sky

    The results are as we expected. Nothing to praisesing about. However, we congratulate the winners in the various wards and constituencies. A fiddler once led rats to the ocean where they found death waiting.

    • George

      I like you, people are happy not knowing where they are heading to

  12. Legal and Political Analyst

    UPND got what it wanted. Arrogance, insulting language and being bossy does but inspire people at all. I hope HH learnt lessons for him to sit strategically and see where him and his UPND are going??? Satanist banditry by some of his followers is very inhuman to think of him going into plot one with a group of conspirators seeking to get away with impunity?? Their wanton banditry and attacks using cadres and abusing state machinery and the judicial process in harassing and pillaging a woman, will still cost the party some big embarrassment in future elections. They must learn lessons now and clean up their mess, and respect other human beings, in the same way they want to be respected. Not inhumanely eating and making profits from stealing from anhardworking and achieved woman, and even abusing the responsibilities of their tribesmen in the legal and financial systems to help them cover up theirs inhuman banditry. Life is nit like that. HH and his satanist members must apologise for their acts and make good on restitution and nit arrogantly seeking to live in complacency with impunity. That was a good leasson to HH himself and his UPND. Arrogance and stealing from others inhumanely is the tag on them which is their responsibility to clean up,mbefore they can attract voters or seek governance.
    They still have iniquities to clean up, before God can usher them to power. How do you use i suiting language to people you are seeking votes from. Etiquette is also one issue lacking in the UPND,which they direly need. Their poor communication skills cost them good chances. Their party needs to be patient and build up highly skilled motivated respectect youths to build up its dented image. Let them learn lessons now and prepare for 2026. They have no chance in 2021. They damaged their own chances.

  13. Naz

    2021 yeve izakayiipa

  14. JMS

    Mark my words, if through doubios means pf wins the 2021 elections impeachment will occur because that time everyone will learn and know the fact that privetization happened to the country’s benefits and we see it in every corner of the country. Unless to those with brains who don’t use their minds.

    • saimbwende

      HH TAKATEKEPO

      • Mk

        it’s better uko ku ndola in Livingston we have the inter city bus taminous and Zimbabwe market which were started by the late president sata up-to now those buildings are not yet finished..
        And we Livingstonians we wonder whether it’s a campaign strategy for 2021 or they will remain like that..
        Let our leaders keep their promises …
        Now if they come to Livingston Wat are they going to tell us in terms of development…..

    • Wyzist

      Indeed, even if lungu wins in 2021 one day he’ll forcefully be removed from power or impeached, it might even happen before 2021 elections. Lungu and his pf continue to show their failures and incompetence. It’s either hh will win or lungu will be impeached but one way or the other, am definitely certain that lungu is in his last days of ruling.

  15. Its political

    Thats same old register. Wait for new young voters

  16. Kanungwe maybin

    Thanks to you who voted UPND FAMILY remember 2021 it’s coming soon

  17. Filungula Namenshi

    Good analysis, UPND die hards please save your party before it sinks beyond redemption. Change top management. The grass root is not very bad but if only they can tone down on insults.

  18. Iciwa

    Muza muziba Mulungu!

  19. Cdc

    Stop sending money to the village..
    They have knew children in town.

  20. Deo chibwe

    Just accept that you have lost and go back to the drawing board. Have you done much ground work. Party organisation in luapula. Northern and muchinga not so strong. Mobilisation so weak not receiving much support and attention. After voting you all go to sleep. How do expect to win without much activity? Work on your weaknesses because time is running out. Alliances Kaya!

  21. paul kambimbi

    Zambians are okay with the ruling part and the economy is fine and doing okay……. if Zambians were suffering people were going to vote out pf…..Development every where in Zambia dollar is also doing fine …. go Zambia go viva our part…..

  22. FuManchu

    The analysis is using numbers and though it is said numbers don’t lie my hunch is the validity of turn for the tally being used. Experience has been low turnout for byelections in most cases lesser than 50% the initial election vote! What accompanies the numbers is not interpreted in terms of what skewes the voting, offence or being affected. In rural areas people are not as affected as their city counterparts in daily living and “development” impact is not felt whichever way and people are resigned to fate satisfied with below average living standards and not demanding more!

  23. JMS

    I salute the hypocrisy of this writer who can’t understand that its just a person with education who can read the bible and select which ever is right for her or him. And it sims he has classified clearly by mentioning Facebook,writers write to embrace not to bring embarassments.

  24. Jose

    U seriously thought upnd can win in northern province?or you seriously think of can win in southern province?UPND should be trying to get lusaka and coperbelt.by the way they need 1 vice president not the nonsense of 2 vice president and should be and running mate.u got to lukashya and adopt someone who was a reject by the pf and you think you can win an election?what about you loyal members?pay me I can be your consultant for you coz right now you don’t know the game

  25. Mt man

    The people voted because they need development. They were told that if they vote for UPND then no development will come in there areas. So what can you chose between life and death? Its life so people celebrate the results but don’t forget that your way of campaigning will only help you in by elections not general elections. Congratulations PF for scooping both constuances

  26. hajanika Chilala

    The truth of the matter and it will remain a fact for many decades to come,Zambia is a divided country and no human will unite us except God.Its not an issue of a party being popular or not but total division based on tribal lines.Sad as it may sound but its the truth. Only a natural situation shall unite us some day.

  27. Kuwabo

    Leave HH alone it’s a tribal voting not issues based. Our friends in Bembaland don’t believe that others can be president but it’s not about tribe it’s about Zambia because we are all zambians living together peacefully. We work together and marry from anywhere across our country why should it be different when it comes to politics? Tongas or indeed lozis have supported Bembas on Kaunda, chiluba and Banda. So plz we are one Zambia one nation.

  28. Shakututa

    When you are dying,people encourages you that no just be free you are fine,and you also thinks to be fine,but wait 2021 is coming,UPND is going to cry,but the cry will be that of joy and celebration and another political party will cry their cry will be that of solo

  29. Musenge

    Parliamentary Election Results should not be used to gauge Bally Hakainde. The UPND candidate may not have been more suitable than PF’s. I urge the people of Mwansabombwe to uphold the confidence that they have in HH come 2020 and vote out the economy destroyer. Let the look at the selfishness, greed and mismanagement of present government. $ @ k20 and PF is blaming covid-19 when they are busy enriching themselves individually and severally. Edgar has had his time and has evidently failed the Zambian economy. Vote HH for development and sustainability

  30. EMMANUEL MWABABA

    Hh was cheated by Seer 1.Bemba will never like Tonga.Believe E.g hh

  31. Muntu@gmail.com

    HH will never be President due to his selfish desires, greediness too much hatred people learn to work hard,HH will never give you food neither will he recognise you, never just work hard. Look at the 🐜 beside the path, think about how they work then you will be right. Let me remind you may be you don’t know. ECL and his government has embarked on social programs such as social cash transfer schemes etc. The economy is not doing well due to covid19 globally, unless those who are bitter about PF are disputing. Shame to all followers of UPND!! Your leader is not morally upright.

  32. sampa chanda

    true my bro,lets pray for our country.

  33. Novice

    People who support of are just lost. You are like sheep being led by a blind shepherd. Too much boot licking just be you benefit from the pf’s corruption doesn’t mean it’s everyone. We won’t be treated to suffering anymore we want economic stability. The problem is pf are so quick to trick Zambians into thinking that all we talk about is the economy. How can’t we not complain about it it’s bad it’s there for everyone to see. Even the blind can see that money is being taken away from the pockets of citizens. Pf 2021 is coming

  34. abou Bakr

    what difference would it make to vote for a person from a party other than PF just now? it was the only sensible to vote for PF!

  35. SECRET_NI_2021

    USELESS analysis. If PF has remained strong in its strongholds, is there need for any analysis here. And who said PF must start losing all elections and UPND must start winiing all. That is loopsided thinking by CHRIS PHIRI. In a functional democracy , you need at least 2 STRONG political players who are UPND and PF at the moment. IS THERE A PROBLEM HERE SURE…ALA!!

  36. RNN

    Am very much surprised by some analysis, of the recent elections which ain’t elections for the all zambia, why tht far? The big one is coming, let them level the playing game. Then, we’ll judge who’s the mighty, not on those poor elections in the rural area. It’s a wrong analysis.

  37. Education

    The earlier for UPND to change it’s president the better chance they stand to do better in the 2021 election. As the party stands at the moment it’s far from performing and no light seems to show at the end of the tunnel. If Hakainde really wants to save Zambia like he claims then, it’s not about him to be on presidency but for the love of his country and his party he needs to step aside let him find another member to run the party and let him be there to support the party under the new president and I can assure the Upnd members the party will perform properly.

    As things stand now the UPND will not stop crying on their same for chorus for years now, “the PF has rigged the election, the PF has bribed the constituency and the Pf bought this and that.” we have heard to much of this chorus and now it sounds in absolute discord, all you need is to change strategy and perform properly. Teams change Coaches and players if the performance is under par just to reach the standards of the league or risk dropping further to lower leagues, the same strategy applies to political parties. Hakainde must go to pave way for better performance for the party. This advice is free, no charges apply but only takes people who are not selfish and willing to work for the country to heed to it and bring the rightful change. We really need strong and smart opposition parties inorder for the country to develop, no baby cry or so called chicolour parties because now even other opposition parties are tired of Hakainde . Ndeloleshafye.

  38. Mulenga Dickson

    “Zambia shall be a multi party democracy ” it is the law for parties to compete for popularity not hatred, violence, nepotism, tribalism and the like. The real winners in Lukasha and mwansabombwe and indeed anywhere in zambia where undisputed election results are declared are the people of Zambia. Congratulations to mother Zambia for the peace we have and are enjoying. Other constituencies should copy the pattern.

  39. Mk

    it’s better uko ku ndola in Livingston we have the inter city bus taminous and Zimbabwe market which were started by the late president sata up-to now those buildings are not yet finished..
    And we Livingstonians we wonder whether it’s a campaign strategy for 2021 or they will remain like that..
    Let our leaders keep their promises …
    Now if they come to Livingston Wat are they going to tell us in terms of development…..

  40. John

    HH how can youpromise to give seer1 sitizen ship are u alright ?

  41. Real citizen

    I just wonder some of the comments, being posted here if really they’re coming from the educated minds,,especially to those advocating for the replacement of HH ,,,Sata lost elections three times ,twice to Levy & once to Rupiah ,,did PF demand for His replacement?
    How many times did US president Abraham Lincoln,,fell ? 17 times ,in the end his legacy is that ,he became one of the greatest US president ever lived ,how many times did Abdul Diouf failed to win elections in Senegal? almost half of His life and wen he won he achieved so much for His country under his 14 year rule ,,so it’s abt changing HH ,that’s wat will make UPND, win ,,infact if you look at statistics HH is becoming more popular , known & well accepted all around the country,,going by the massive welcome & reception he’s received in yo so called PF bedrooms ,an unthinkable thing not long ago,,unless you haters of HH, u’ve yo own agenda, or PF has sponsored you ,like Nawakwi, to spread falsehoods about him ,thinking yu will weaken him & UPND, just wait 2021,is coming,,prior to 2016 general elections ,even MMD was winning by elections, wat happened later ?
    PF will loose the elections in 2021 ,on account of the impending economic collapse, just coming soon ,wen your donors who give you almost 30%
    0f yo budget support have withdraw to fund yo budget,,next January,,that’s wat awaits you All blind agents of PF,,

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